CBAM · definitive regime · live since 01·01·2026

Don't let default values set your CBAM bill.

Northbound Carbon prepares verifier-ready emissions data for industrial exporters to the EU — so your buyers pay for your actual carbon, not the regulation's worst-case assumption.

CEMENT & CLINKER · LATAM US STEEL · ALUMINUM EN · ESPAÑOL
Atmospheric CO₂ · Mauna Loa observatory
429.6 ppm
trend · NOAA GML · and rising ~2.5 ppm/yr
SEP 30 · 2027
First CBAM declaration — covering every tonne shipped in 2026.
10% → 30%
Markup applied to default values through 2028. Missing data gets pricier by design.
€100 / t
Penalty per tonne of undeclared emissions. No cap.
CBAM Exposure Pilot
$7,000 · 10 days · 2 SKUs
What it includes →
Regulation

What changed in 2026

Since January 1, 2026, the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism is in its definitive phase. Your EU importers now accumulate a financial liability on every tonne you ship — and they will settle it with CBAM certificates.

Here is the part that lands on you, the exporter: if your product arrives without verified emissions data, your importer pays the default value. For cement, the default for most countries is set near the top of the global emissions range — deliberately — and carries a rising markup. Default values aren't an estimate. They are a penalty for missing paperwork.

Exporters who deliver clean, installation-level, verifiable data become the cheap supplier. Exporters who don't become the expensive one — and expensive suppliers get replaced.

JAN 2026
Definitive regime live. Liability accrues on every EU shipment.
SEP 2026
Third-country verifier accreditation opens. Verified data becomes demandable.
FEB 2027
Certificate sales begin. The liability gets a market price.
SEP 2027
First declarations due — retroactive to January 2026.
2028
Default markup hits 30%. ~180 downstream steel & aluminum products proposed to enter scope.
Your number

What are default values costing you?

Cement & clinker, direct emissions. Move the sliders — the math is the EU's, the overpayment is yours.

Importer's bill on default values€—
Importer's bill on your verified data€—
Overpayment · per year
€—
Illustrative estimate. Direct emissions only; assumes the EU default intensity for cement from non-listed countries with the year's default markup, and the phase-in CBAM factor for the selected year (2.5% → 100% by 2034 as free allocation ends). Verify current default tables and ETS prices for your product. Not financial or legal advice. Steel or aluminum? The math shifts with your route — EAF vs BF-BOF, primary smelt vs remelt — and computing that per SKU is exactly what the 10-day pilot does.
Sectors

We speak your process, not just your paperwork.

CBAM math turns on parameters that live on the plant floor — the clinker ratio, the furnace route, the smelt source. That's where we start.

Latin America · Español · Priority

Cement & clinker

Your importers are asking for emissions data now — in a format most plants have never produced. We work in Spanish, directly with your plant team.

  • The clinker-to-cement ratio decides everything — and it's the number plants most often get wrong.
  • Blended cements hold a hidden advantage: slag, fly ash, and gypsum carry zero embedded emissions under CBAM. High-additive producers are structurally cheaper — most don't know it.
  • Both direct and indirect emissions count — kiln fuel and electricity source both move your bill.
  • Scope check in one call: four categories; ready-mix and concrete products are out.
United States

Iron & steel

EU defaults price US steel dirty. Your furnace says otherwise — verified data is how it gets heard.

  • Route sets the stakes: EAF scrap-based runs ≈ 0.3–0.7 tCO₂/t crude; integrated BF-BOF ≈ 1.8–2.3.
  • Precursors cascade — a finished tube inherits crude steel, pig iron, sintered ore. Bought-in precursors need your supplier's data: the step where most exporters break.
  • Scope is wider than most think: nearly all of Chapter 72, plus tubes, structures, and fasteners in 73.
United States

Aluminum

The one CBAM sector where perfluorocarbons count — and where recycled content changes the bill most.

  • Primary vs secondary is the whole game: smelting ≈ 1.5–1.7 tCO₂e/t direct plus PFCs; remelt ≈ 0.3–0.6.
  • Recycled-content producers running on default values are overpaying badly.
  • ~180 downstream steel & aluminum products are proposed to enter scope from 2028 — if you're near the line, check now.

Also covered: nitrogen fertilizers — the only sector with N₂O monitoring — and hydrogen, which has no de-minimis exemption.

Services

Three ways in — start with ten days.

01 · CBAM Exposure Pilot

The fastest way to know your real number.

  • Embedded-emissions calculation under the EU methodology — two product SKUs
  • Default-vs-actual cost comparison at current EU carbon prices
  • A data-gap roadmap: exactly what's missing and where to find it
  • An importer-ready summary you can send to your EU buyers
$7,000
fixed scope · 10 business days
If you don't walk away with a clear cost picture, we refund half. You work directly with the founder.
Start the pilot
02 · Verified Data Package

One upload, every buyer.

Full installation-level emissions dataset built to the EU's prescribed methodology, formatted for the CBAM Operators Portal and third-party verification. One properly structured upload serves every EU buyer you have.

03 · CBAM Desk

Compliance while you run the plant.

A monthly retainer: importer data requests handled, portal submissions maintained, quarterly regulatory monitoring — including UK CBAM, arriving January 2027, which puts a second set of obligations on many of the same shipments.

Firm

Why Northbound

Engineers, not slide decks.

20+ years designing and installing heavy industrial systems, including hands-on cement plant and preheater tower construction. We know where your data lives because we've stood next to the equipment that produces it.

Built for the mid-market.

Fixed fees, senior attention, 10-day turnarounds. Not a six-figure Big Four engagement staffed by first-year analysts.

Bilingual by design.

Your plant team works in Spanish. Your EU importer gets English. Nothing is lost between them.

FAQ

Fair questions

CBAM is legally the importer's obligation. Why is it my problem?
Legally, yes — the EU importer files and pays. Commercially, the cost flows straight into your negotiation. Importers pass default-value costs to suppliers through pricing, or switch to suppliers who provide verified data. The obligation is theirs; the consequence is yours.
Can't we just let them use default values?
You can. For cement, the default sits near the worst end of global intensity plus a rising markup — most producers' actual emissions are meaningfully lower. Every tonne of difference is money your buyer pays for no reason, and remembers at contract renewal.
Are you an accredited verifier?
No, and that's deliberate — verifiers verify, they don't prepare. We build your data so it passes verification the first time. Accreditation of third-country verifiers opened in September 2026, and we hand them a clean file.
How fast is the pilot?
Ten business days from data access. We tell you on day one exactly what we need.
We ship less than 50 tonnes of covered goods to the EU per year.
Then your importers may fall under the de minimis exemption and owe nothing. We'll confirm that in the first call — free — and you'll have your answer either way. Note the exemption covers cement, steel, aluminum, and fertilizers — not hydrogen.
Is my product even in scope?
CBAM works on aggregated goods categories first, CN codes second. Cement: four categories — ready-mix and concrete products are out. Steel: nearly all of Chapter 72 plus much of 73. Aluminum: Chapter 76. We confirm your exact codes in the first call, free.
We make blended cement — does that change anything?
It's your biggest lever. Additives like slag and fly ash carry zero embedded emissions, so a lower clinker-to-cement ratio directly cuts the bill. On default values, that advantage vanishes; with verified data, it shows up in your buyer's cost — and your price.
Do you also handle fertilizer or hydrogen?
Yes. Nitrogen fertilizers add N₂O monitoring on nitric acid lines — real complexity we speak fluently. Hydrogen has no de-minimis exemption, so even small EU volumes must comply.
About

Founded by an engineer who has stood inside the kiln line.

Northbound Carbon was founded by Dani Belen, a mechanical engineer with more than 20 years in heavy industry — including years of hands-on cement plant installation work, from kiln lines to preheater towers. Based in New Jersey, serving clients across the Americas and EU time zones, in English and Spanish.

We started Northbound because CBAM's real burden isn't calculation — it's turning messy plant records into structured, verifiable documentation. That's an engineering problem. So we treat it like one.

Next step

Find out what default values are costing you.

One 20-minute call. If CBAM isn't a real cost for you, we'll tell you that too.

Book a 20-minute call